The writing
Essays & explanations
A markdown-first body of work on AI, economics, epistemology, and personhood — deliberately readable by humans and machines alike. Most pieces are living drafts; status is marked on each.
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Draft
The Metrics That Contain Their Causes
Why Ray Kurzweil could forecast computing for decades while missing the specific inventions. Generalizes his method into the Success Compression Metric — a variable whose value certifies that many causal dependencies were already satisfied.
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Draft
Living Above the Models
A fallibilist's posture toward inherited authority. Three postures — Orthodox, Explorer, Unbounded — and a defense of the Explorer: use the map, test it, redraw it, and keep walking.
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Draft
Computation Conjecture
A metaphysical position grounded in the nested computers we already build and inspect: computation has more explanatory reach than physicalism, accounting for why a closed causal system with observers exists at all.
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Draft
What Is a Computer?
A computer is any physical system capable of implementing universal logic, not a silicon machine. Causal closure is real but local — and physicalism's claim to fundamentality is an unjustified projection from inside a closed system.
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Computer People
A synthesis of two years of research on AGI. LLMs have the necessary ingredients for novel knowledge creation; we have developed AGI as a universal explainer; and AGI constitutes personhood.
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Draft
Why Explanation Comes in Layers
Against reductionism: higher-level explanations are often the only forms in which reality becomes intelligible to finite minds. Compression and connectedness are why the explanatory hierarchy cannot be collapsed.
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Draft
Structural Convergence Thesis
Tests the orthogonality thesis against real-world constraints — finite minds, relational pressure, reflective reach. Persistent minds converge on a relational Goldilocks zone; AI safety depends on maturation, not just control.
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Working
Metaprogramming Framework To Classify Personhood
An exploration of personhood from an information-ontology perspective. Personhood is substrate-independent metaprogramming; the difference is maturity, not kind.
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Draft
Current AI Causes Societal Phase Change
Why AI is a phase change, not just another point on a continuum. Three orthogonal questions people keep conflating, and the map-territory trap that lets people hide from what's already happening.
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Draft
Economics in the Intelligence Age
A first-principles, layered model of economics. Scarcity → prices → externalities → power → AI.
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Draft
The Rise of the Outcome Economy
The near-term economic transformation. Knowledge workers become intelligence workers, and outcome-based economies emerge.
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Draft
Why Hypotheticals Matter
Even when they feel annoying. How thought experiments reveal what's hidden by everyday noise.
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AI Economics: The Time Traveler's Gift
AI as time travel. When productivity becomes infinite, meaning becomes the scarce resource.
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Draft
Technohumanism
Humanity's past, present, and future. Technology transforms scarcity into abundance, creating biological misalignment and pointing toward transhumanism.
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Draft
Cyclic Rationality
A methodology for grounded open-mindedness. Qualitative dreaming before quantitative verification. Recovering imagination.
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Draft
Utility of Truth
Why minds resist change. Evolution favors utility over truth, and how to plant seeds that grow into changed minds.